1998 Workshop Program

8:00-8:30 Registration

8:30-8:45 Opening Remarks

8:45-9:15 Operational Forecast Issues

8:45-9:15 Invited Talk: Present day status of wintertime QPF prediction over the Intermountain West. Larry Dunn, NWSFO Salt Lake City, UT.
9:15-9:30 SPC winter weather mesoscale discussions. Kurt Van Speybroeck and Greg Carbin, NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center.
9:30-9:45 Mountain weather and avalanches. Bruce Tremper, Utah Avalanche Forecast Center.
9:45-10:05 Discussion/Poster Introductions

10:05-10:30 Break

10:30-12:15 Numerical Weather Prediction

10:30-11:00 Invited Talk: High resolution mesoscale modeling over the Pacific Northwest. Cliff Mass, University of Washington.
11:00-11:30 Invited Talk: An update on modeling activities at NCEP. Geoff DiMego, NCEP.
11:30-12:00 Invited Talk: QPF verification in the western United States. Brett McDonald, COMET/NWS, and John Horel, University of Utah and NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction.
12:00-12:15 Discussion

12:15-1:00 Lunch

1:00-2:45 Observing Systems

1:15-1:30 WSR-88D snow prediction in the west. Steve Vasiloff, NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory.
1:30-1:45 Quantitative precipitation estimation by the Reno WSR-88D: The 1997 New Year's Flood. David Kingsmill and Arlen Huggins, Desert Research Institute Atmospheric Science Center
1:45-2:00 Derived digital satellite data use in western region forecast offices. Kevin Schrab, NWS Western Region Headquarters.
2:00-2:15 The Utah Mesonet. Mike Splitt and John Horel, University of Utah and NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction.
2:15-2:30 Application of an analysis/forecast system in the complex terrain of NW Utah. Steve Lazarus, Carol Ciliberti, and John Horel, University of Utah and NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction.
2:30-2:45 Discussion

2:45-3:15 Break

3:00-4:30: Structure and analysis of winter storms

3:15-3:30 Invited Talk: Forecasting lee cyclogenesis. David Schultz and Charles Doswell, NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory.
3:30-3:45 Acrtic outbreaks west of the continental divide in the MesoEta model. Tim Barker, NWSFO Missoula, MT.
3:45-4:00 A composite study examining five heavy snowfall patterns for south-central Montana. Jonathan Van Ausdall and Thomas Humphry, NWSFO Billings, MT.
4:00-4:15 Numerical investigation of the 25 October 1997 blowdown event over the Colorado Park Range using RAMS. Michael Meyers, NWSFO Grand Junction, CO, John Snook, NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory, Doug Wesley, UCAR/COMET, and Greg Poulos, Colorado Research Associates.
4:15-4:30 The effects of vertical motion and microphysical processes on precipitation type during a western Nevada snow storm. Thomas Cylke, NWSFO Reno, NV.

4:30-5:00 Closing Discussion

Posters

MOS applied to Alta, Utah. Chris Gibson, Boise Fire Weather.
Bias-corrected temperature guidance from the ETA model. William Rasch, NWSFO Billings, MT.
Improving MOS guidance by Extrapolation. Les Colin, NWSFO, Boise, ID.
The Use and Abuse of Conditional Symmetric Instability. David M. Schultz and Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA NSSL.
Summer-season circulations in the Tooele and Rush Valleys of Utah. Jebb Stewart and Jim Steenburgh, U of U/NOAA CIRP.
Winter 1997-1998 weather at the 2002 Winter Olympics outdoor venues. Jebb Stewart and Jim Steenburgh, U of U/NOAA CIRP.
Analyses of frontal passages and wind discontinuities at the West Desert Test Center. Al Astling, Meteorology Division, West Dester Test Center, Dugway, UT.
Climatology of Lake Effect Snowstorms of the Great Salt Lake, Scott Halvorson, Jim Steenburgh, and Daryl Onton, University of Utah and NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction